Download Economists and the Financial Markets by Brendan Brown PDF

By Brendan Brown

This e-book explores how economists function successfully in monetary markets. utilizing occasions as varied because the Wall highway Crash of 1929 and eastern earthquake harm the writer lines the responses of the industry to numerous monetary occasions. the topics lined comprise: * The valuing strategy * studying the inside track * The demanding situations of long-term eventualities * The company and progress cycle * The economist as strategist

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Extra resources for Economists and the Financial Markets

Example text

They should be on guard for certain types of normally innocuous information which could set the process off. 39 SO WHAT IS NEW? Let us look at some historical examples of the market catalysts. One of the oldest is the Wall Street Crash of October 1929. The US historian Jude Warniski has sought to explain the exact timing of the Crash in terms of a news report about US Senate action the day before which only hit the inside pages of the daily press. Specifically, forces in the Senate resisting an increase in the tariff on carbides were defeated.

He/she must have an 38 SO WHAT IS NEW? ear for gossip (especially from inside the Castle). Even highly serious readers of a taxing editorial welcome a midway breather. Economic journalists know that an easy ‘high-brow’ story which excites human interest is conflict between key officials. A difference in view between Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and Deputy Chairman Alan Blinder about whether or how far monetary policy should be eased made front-page news off and on throughout 1995. Yet insiders insist that the difference was totally exaggerated.

Examples of divergence in view between domestic and foreign investors are not confined to the US and German bond markets. In spring and summer 1993, when the yen was soaring against the DM and dollar, Japanese and foreign viewpoints with respect to the yen bond market were quite different. Japanese investors, influenced by the ‘cautiousness’ of the Bank of Japan under Governor Mieno (who had directed monetary policy towards the bursting of the ‘bubble economy’ in 1989/90, and remained highly alert to the risk of a new bubble emerging), were still concerned about the risk of inflation.

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