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By Biljana Raskovic, Svetomir Mrdja

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Extra resources for Natural Disasters: Prevention, Risk Factors and Management

Sample text

The DYW NPP constructed breakwater is 14 - 16 m height which is lower than 1000 years return period combined extreme events. 4. Joint Probability Safety Assessment for QS-NPP Defense Infrastructure in Qiantang River Estuarine Area, East China Sea The combination of typhoon induced storm surge with the strongest spring tide in Qiantang river estuarine always lead to disasters. The observed maximum surge and spring tide more than 9m. The QS NPP locates in south coast of estuarine Qiantang River and face to East China Sea where always occurred the severest spring tide in China.

PNLTCED can be used to predict design water level more accurately. Daton Hydrological Station locates at the upper river of Yangtze River, 642 km from Wuson Oceanologic Station near Shanghai City. The observed water levels of flood at Daton station are out of influence by typhoon surge from sea side. Data of water level collected at the Wuson Station from 1970 to 1990, and the data of flood at the Daton Station are used in this study. The observed water level at Wuson station during typhoon season (hw) can be divided into three components 1) The hourly harmonic analyzed tide (ha) obtained from 63 harmonic constants model during 1970~1990.

The parameters of marginal distributions are shown in Table 6. Table 6. 59 Table 6 shows there is more strong correlation between wind speed and water level than others, so the wind speed (Ws)and water level (Wl) should be taken as inside layer variables. Using PNLTCED one contour surface about Ws, Wd and Wl for each joint return period can be obtained. (See Figure 6) So there should be different combinations that can be resulted with same joint return period. We proposed two cases of data sampling method for unique solution from multiple combinations of typhoon induced environments with a joint return period [36, 39, 44]: a.

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